Basic data characteristics in relation to runoff forecast accuracy

TitleBasic data characteristics in relation to runoff forecast accuracy
Publication TypeConference Proceedings
Year of Conference1958
AuthorsWork, R. A., and Beaumont R. T.
Conference Name26th Annual Western Snow Conference
Series TitleProceedings of the 26th Annual Western Snow Conference
Date PublishedApril 1958
PublisherWestern Snow Conference
Conference LocationBozeman, Montana
KeywordsAccuracy, Forecasting

An analysis is presented of runoff forecast methods and their accuracy, and the distribution of errors by algebraic sign. The results stress the importance of basing river flow forecasts on data obtained as close to the water source as possible. Data of the most simple and direct character are more efficient. The basic data, as gathered by snow surveys from the heart of the water producing areas generally result in the most accurate forecasts because is a more precise method of sampling the greatest factor in streamflow production in mountainous western areas.NOTE: A table showing the discrepancies between two basic principals of water supply forecasting was misplaced at the time of printing, but is shown in the 1959 Proceedings of the Western Snow Conference on page 34.