Effect upon seasonal runoff forecasts of measurement errors in basic data

TitleEffect upon seasonal runoff forecasts of measurement errors in basic data
Publication TypeConference Proceedings
Year of Conference1954
AuthorsDean, W. W., Frost W. T., and Kuehl D. W.
Conference Name22nd Annual Western Snow Conference
Series TitleProceedings of the 22nd Annual Western Snow Conference
Date PublishedApril 1954
PublisherWestern Snow Conference
Conference LocationSalt Lake City, Utah
KeywordsStatistical analysis, Water supply forecasting
Abstract

A study was made of random sampling errors inherent to hydrologic data used for statistical development of multiple-linear regression formula to forecast the probable season water supply. Random errors were induced into basic data of both the dependent and independent variables and multiple linear equations were developed. The usual statistical parameters of correlation coefficient and standard error were compared with those formulas developed where the obvious random errors were NOT induced. These tests indicated that the introduction of errors in the magnitude chosen did not cause any large effects in the regression equation. It is suggested that every effort be made to gather and use data without errors in measurement and keep hydrologic data up to standard.