Effect upon seasonal runoff forecasts of measurement errors in basic data
Title | Effect upon seasonal runoff forecasts of measurement errors in basic data |
Publication Type | Conference Proceedings |
Year of Conference | 1954 |
Authors | Dean, W. W., Frost W. T., and Kuehl D. W. |
Conference Name | 22nd Annual Western Snow Conference |
Series Title | Proceedings of the 22nd Annual Western Snow Conference |
Date Published | April 1954 |
Publisher | Western Snow Conference |
Conference Location | Salt Lake City, Utah |
Keywords | Statistical analysis, Water supply forecasting |
Abstract | A study was made of random sampling errors inherent to hydrologic data used for statistical development of multiple-linear regression formula to forecast the probable season water supply. Random errors were induced into basic data of both the dependent and independent variables and multiple linear equations were developed. The usual statistical parameters of correlation coefficient and standard error were compared with those formulas developed where the obvious random errors were NOT induced. These tests indicated that the introduction of errors in the magnitude chosen did not cause any large effects in the regression equation. It is suggested that every effort be made to gather and use data without errors in measurement and keep hydrologic data up to standard. |